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Estimation of Uncertainty of Wind Energy Predictions

Estimation of Uncertainty of Wind Energy Predictions

Autorzy
Wydawnictwo Peter Lang
Data wydania 28/02/2017
Wydanie Pierwsze
Forma publikacji eBook: Reflowable eTextbook (ePub)
Język angielski
ISBN 9783631718964
Kategorie Ekonomia, finanse, biznes i zarządzanie, Ekonomia, Wzrost gospodarczy, Statystyka ekonomiczna, Rachunkowość finansów publicznych, Przemysł i nauki przemysłowe, Technologia informacyjna i komputerowa, Nauki komputerowe, Transport: pojęcia ogólne
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Opis książki

Currently, a new generation of fuel-efficient ships, which use wind force in addition to conventional propulsion technology, is being developed. This study describes a mathematical method for a probabilistic estimate of the wind propulsion force on a ship route. The method is based on quantile regression, which makes it suitable for various ship routes with variable weather conditions. Furthermore, the author takes different macro weather situations into account for the calculation of the statistical distributions. He validates the results for a multi-purpose carrier, a ship route in the North Atlantic Ocean and archived weather forecasts. It showed that the wind force can be estimated more accurately if the macro weather situation is taken into account properly.

Estimation of Uncertainty of Wind Energy Predictions

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